Medicinal

WHO estimates of Indian death

WHO India Covid: India strongly refutes the use of WHO’s mathematical model to calculate deaths.

New Delhi:

The World Health Organization’s (WHO) report on the deaths of 4.7 million “excessive” Covids in India is not “logical or factual,” a head of the Covid Working Group in India said today. I’m curious. “

Dr. NK Arora, chief of the Covid Working Group in India, spoke with NDTV this morning as India’s robust and accurate Civil Registration System (CRS), while a 10-20% discrepancy could occur. Known) covers most of the virus-related deaths.

In a report released Thursday, WHO stated that there were 4.7 million “excessive” Covid deaths in India between January 2020 and December 2021. According to the report, there were 15 million people, more than double the official 6 million people.

“It was ridiculous and unacceptable,” Arora called the report. “In 2018, about 85-88% of the dead were covered. In 2020, 98-99% of the dead were covered. There were 70,000 rupee deaths in 2018 and 2019. Of the 4.6 Rak excess, 1.45 were reported deaths. These 3 Rak deaths occurred for other reasons. 4 Rak It doesn’t mean that the death was extra. It fits the WHO estimate. “

Asked if the state may not have reported the death to the center, Arora said, “There was a delay, and after the Supreme Court’s ruling, all states had previously missed an unprocessed death. Reported and currently the current system. Many of the numbers in Kerala and other good states have added additional deaths to the total number. Some because India is a huge country. I’m missing, but it’s not “10x”. report”.

“The other is that the definition of Covid in India is death that occurred within a month of being diagnosed with Covid, so if it was too much, people would have overwhelmed us. Nothing like that happened. Claim compensation. Therefore, there are some inconsistencies in the WHO report. “

Dr. NK Arora said that despite India’s reliable death registration system, WHO rejected India’s data and relied on its own statistical model.

“Some deaths may be missing because not everything is recorded. In Tier 2 countries where data is not available, the way WHO placed us is incorrect,” he said. rice field.

Countries classified as Tier 2 include countries where WHO does not have access to complete data, requiring the use of alternative data sources or the application of scaling factors to generate country aggregates.

“We have a robust system. The number of deaths is gradually increasing. Even if we miss 10-15% of deaths, there is nothing like WHO pointed out. Per million people. The death toll is very low. In 2020, the journal predicted our destiny. They said it would take five years for us to immunize a population of one billion people, which is It proved to be wrong, “he added.

India has strongly opposed the World Health Organization’s use of mathematical models to calculate Covid’s mortality, stating that “the numbers have been completely excluded from reality.” In its counter-argument, the United Ministry of Health called WHO’s data collection system “statistically unhealthy and scientifically suspicious.”

National top health experts ICMR director Ballam Bhargava, NITI Aayog member (health) VK Paul, and AIIMS director Randeep Guleria have also expressed disappointment with the “universal” approach to the global health body. shape.

Dr. VK Paul said this kind of assumption “is not desirable to expose us to poor light.”

Guaranteeing the country that the government has nothing to hide, Dr. Paul said there is still an active process of reconciliation of Covid’s death.

“Our numbers are there and we have a robust system from the ground, so we don’t accept these numbers, we reject them,” he says. I did.

Dr. Balram Bhargava said there was no definition of death by Covid.

Dr. Randeep Guleria disagreed with the WHO report, “I have three reasons: India’s birth and death registration system is very robust and data are available. WHO is not using that data. The second important issue is that the data used by WHO is more hearsay evidence, or data from media or unconfirmed sources. The data itself is suspicious. Modeling with that data is incorrect, especially scientifically incorrect, when there is data. “

Another problem is that India was very generous in providing compensation to those who died of COVID-19, and it was there in a very open way, Dr. Guleria said. ..

There is input from ANI

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