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Bracketology: Duke’s No. 2 seed ruling out Texas A&M were NCAA Tournament Selection Committee errors

We finally have a parenthesis. The NCAA Tournament Selection Committee came out with their field of 68 on Sunday and as usual, it was a mixed bag – good and puzzles.

Teams that are excluded from the NCAA Tournament have always given the selection committee a reason to exclude them. That said, I find it hard to understand how Texas A&M was ruled out in favor of at least Indiana and Notre Dame, the final two teams in the tournament. field.

The CV comparison with Indiana shows two very similar teams, that Texas A&M has advantages in a few key areas. They are better away from home and better against tournament opposition. Indiana has five losses outside of Quad 1, while Texas A&M has only two. They have the same number of wins in Quad 1, but the Aggies are doing a bit better. They both beat Notre Dame and lost to Wisconsin, although Indiana did it twice.

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I’m not saying Texas A&M should be in and Indiana out. Indiana wasn’t the last team in the field. I’m just saying if Indiana is in, TAMU should be in too.

The committee had the Aggies as the third team, behind Dayton and SMU. I had them in my slice and missed Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights have a very odd resume, so I don’t really have a problem with them coming in. They set the record for the lowest-rated team in the NCAA pick metric to get an overall offer at 77 in the NET. The previous record was 74 in the RPI by New Mexico in 1999.

I also can’t explain how Duke is a No. 2 seed. The Blue Devils’ resume is sweetened by playing in a weakened ACC. They beat Gonzaga and Kentucky, both of which are big wins, but the Blues Devils have just six wins in Quad 1, less than any team in the front three of the group except Arizona. They have 12 wins in Quad 1 and 2, tying Gonzaga for the least among the best 12 teams. And finally, they have four losses outside of Quad 1, tying Wisconsin. The other ten teams have four such losses combined. Duke also has the weakest overall schedule of any top 12 team. It’s as if the committee just looked at them and decided they were better despite the evidence to the contrary.

The SEC Tennessee and Texas Tech tournament champion would have been better candidates for a No. 2 seed than Duke.

The committee had a difficult situation to sort out regarding the Last Four In. Those teams were, in order, Wyoming, Rutgers, Indiana, and Notre Dame. Normally, they match the first two and the last two and classify them in the group where they belong. In this case, it would be a No. 11 and 12. However, since Indiana played Notre Dame in a non-conference game, they traded the Hoosiers with Rutgers. Then, due to disputes trying to get those pairings and the other No. 11 and 12 to places where they fit within the parenthesis rules, the committee had to swap the No. 11 seed pairing. with the No. 12 seed pairing. That’s why Wyoming-Indiana is a 12 seed and Rutgers-Notre Dame is a No. 11.

NCAA director of media coordination and statistics David Worlock said bracketing those first four pairings was as hard as he remembered.

“I’m just happy that this season we can have a normal tournament again. Hopefully exciting games in front of a big audience. Good luck to your team. Unless of course they play mine.

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